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This NWSL Season Has Been Nuts Heres How We Forecast The Finish

Boston63.175.647.51.915.82.4<1<1<1 TEAMOVERALLOFF.DEF.WLTPLAYOFFSFINALSWIN Kansas City103.696.1113.26.08.35.7521 RATINGAVG. SIM. SEASONPLAYOFF CHANCES Chicago99.689.3112.58.66.64.846167 Houston93.683.6106.36.210.63.2521 W. New York120.3138.197.811.95.52.699%65%37% This year’s surprise standout, the Western New York Flash, has skyrocketed to the top of our table and now has the greatest chance of winning the NWSL championship — 37 percent — up from just a 5 percent chance before the season started. With the league’s top two goal scorers, Lynn Williams and Jessica McDonald (seven and six goals, respectively), the Flash are almost certain to earn a playoff spot. The Washington Spirit will likely grab another — our model gives them a 96 percent chance of making the playoffs.There’s a little less certainty for the third and fourth playoff spots. The Portland Thorns are currently in first place in the league, with 26 points, and have an 86 percent chance of making the postseason. But the team has lost their past two games, in part because several national team players have been absent as they prepare for the Olympics. So Portland may continue to fall in our rankings over the next month. The Chicago Red Stars’ chances of making the playoffs have remained about the same from our initial forecast — dropping to 46 percent from 47 percent — but a strong start to the season has given way to three losses in the past four games.The biggest shock this season, however, has undoubtedly been the rapid descent of the league’s top two teams, Seattle and Kansas City. Both teams were heavily favored in our initial predictions — with a 78 percent and 72 percent chance of making the playoffs, respectively — but at this point, it’s extremely unlikely that either team will earn a playoff berth. There are still six weeks of matches left, but both teams’ chances of winning the championship have plummeted more than 20 percentage points since the season started. Sky Blue97.299.494.57.36.95.82073 Although our preseason forecast didn’t think it was impossible for both Seattle and Kansas City to miss the playoffs (it assigned roughly a 6 percent chance to that possibility), their drastic decline may indicate that we should re-evaluate some components of the model for next year’s NWSL season. As in many of our sports forecasts, each NWSL team’s rating is reverted toward the league average between seasons to account for factors such as changes in personnel and retirements. For the NWSL, two-thirds of a team’s rating from the previous season carries over into the new season; that amount is based on the first three seasons and is in line with other soccer leagues around the world (both men’s and women’s). This year’s results, however, may indicate that NWSL teams should be reverted further toward the league average each season. Or maybe this is just a crazy season. Only time (and more data) will tell. If at the start of the National Women’s Soccer League season you thought two-time defending champions FC Kansas City would be in third-to-last place just over halfway through the season or that two-time regular-season champions Seattle Reign FC would have almost as many losses as they did in their previous two seasons combined, you’re either psychic or your predictive abilities are far greater than ours.Before this year’s matches got underway, we built a model to forecast the league using the best information we had available: data from the three previous NWSL seasons. But because two of those years were dominated by Seattle and Kansas City, correctly predicting this year’s chaos in the league would have been very difficult. So with the table in tumult and the end of the regular season not far off, we thought this would be good time to update our initial predictions, see what’s changed and look ahead to which four teams are most likely to reach the playoffs this fall. Below is a table showing each team’s overall rating — made up of offensive and defensive components (higher is better for both) — as well as its projected win-loss-tie record and its chances of making the playoffs. Portland106.9110.9102.09.73.96.5863515 Orlando90.882.1101.88.39.91.82773 Seattle109.9101.6120.26.96.36.81785 Washington115.0123.5104.311.54.44.1965829 read more

Lake Murray burglary calls new gun law into question

first_imgLake Murray burglary calls new gun law into question July 16, 2019 KUSI Newsroom, Posted: July 16, 2019 KUSI Newsroom 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsSAN DIEGO (KUSI) – A burglar who attacked and stabbed a Lake Murray man today during an early-morning confrontation in the victim’s house was fatally shot moments later by the wounded homeowner’s adult son, according to San Diego police.This particular case is leading people to question the logic of the San Diego City Attorney Mara Elliot’s new law that would require gun owners to safely store their guns in either a safe or with a trigger device when not in use.The home-invasion assault and shooting in the 6300 block of Lake Shore Drive was reported shortly before 6:30 a.m. Patrol officers arrived to find a 54-year old resident on the floor of the house, suffering from stab wounds to his upper body, Lt. Anthony Dupree said. Paramedics took the victim to a hospital, where he was admitted in stable condition.The body of the 38-year-old suspected burglar was found in a backyard pool, into which he apparently had fallen after fleeing the home, mortally wounded. His name was withheld pending family notification.Homicide detectives were called in to take charge of the case. “Although it is early in the investigation, we have learned the homeowner confronted the (intruder) who had entered his home,” Dupree said.“The suspect began assaulting the homeowner, at which point the homeowner’s 20-year old son retrieved a firearm and shot the intruder.”The situation is making residents think twice about the new law that, if it were already in effect, could have altered the outcome of this burglary. Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitterlast_img read more

first_imgDoubling of H-1B visa fee by the US is expected to cost Indian IT companies nearly $400 million. Domestic IT companies are among the top recipients of such visas issued by the US government.The US government has increased the fee to $4,000 for H-1B visas and $4,500 for L-1 visas. These work permit visas allow companies to hire highly skilled workers from other countries when there is non-availability of such workers in the US.The Indian IT sector did not expect such a steep hike in visa fee, though it was prepared for an increase.”It’s ironical that countries which have been trying to tell us that you should open up your economy and be more open to trade and investment are now pulling down the shutters in their countries in the areas which matter to us,” an analyst with a Mumbai-based brokerage told ET.IT companies are the major users of the visas and doubling of the fee will weigh on their margins.”They’ve doubled the fee, so that impact is going to be significant even if there are other margin levers to pull. The total impact we will only be able to see next year, when the new batch of filings are made,” said the analyst.Rise in visa costs will hit the service-based IT companies the most, while it will also affect product development companies.”With the rupee also trading weak against the dollar, this hike would be even steeper for the Indian IT sector and it would adversely affect the revenues of the sector. We would certainly feel the impact of this hike on our bottom line,” said Diwakar Nigam, CEO & MD of Newgen Software.Prime Minister Narendra Modi has already spoken about the concerns of the Indian IT industry with US President Obama on the fee hike for H-1B and L-1 visas, the Press Information Bureau said on Wednesday.With the US heading for Presidential elections next year, the H-1B visa issue has grabbed the attention of the lawmakers in the country.last_img read more